Live cross-venue aggregator
LinkHash Terminal
Cross-venue prediction-market intelligence. Polymarket and Kalshi side-by-side, categorized, refreshed every minute. LLM-matched pairs surface the same market across both venues so spreads are one glance away.
Building the latest cross-venue snapshot… this page will refresh automatically in a few seconds.
Live · 5-second polling
Live Crypto Markets — 15-min up/down
7 assets, both venues, side-by-side. Probabilities update every 5 seconds from each venue's order book. Spread column highlights the gap between Polymarket and Kalshi.
Current round closes in
—
Updated 15:56:43Z
· polling…
| Asset | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
2.1%
Down 97.9%
|
1.9%
Down 98.1%
|
0.2 pp | |
ETH · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
1.5%
Down 98.5%
|
1.1%
Down 98.9%
|
0.4 pp | |
SOL · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
1.1%
Down 98.9%
|
0.9%
Down 99.1%
|
0.2 pp | |
XRP · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
1.1%
Down 98.9%
|
1.6%
Down 98.4%
|
0.5 pp | |
DOGE · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
2.0%
Down 98.0%
|
0.6%
Down 99.4%
|
1.4 pp | |
BNB · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
5.0%
Down 95.0%
|
4.6%
Down 95.4%
|
0.4 pp | |
HYPE · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
3.5%
Down 96.5%
|
1.4%
Down 98.6%
|
2.1 pp |
Polymarket: {asset}-updown-15m events · Kalshi: KX{ASSET}15M series.
Mid-price from each venue's order book (bid/ask spread). Updates every 5 seconds.
Aggregator
Prediction Market Aggregator
Side-by-side coverage of Polymarket and Kalshi. Filter by category; click any row to open the underlying market.
Arbs scan live · pools every 5 min
pools refresh in –:––
All
1434
Politics
137
Elections
491
Crypto
57
Sports
247
Finance
85
Economy
70
Technology
76
Culture
136
Weather
36
Geopolitics
37
Esports
41
Commodities
10
Mentions
7
Other
4
Loading markets…
cross-venue pairs · open markets only
Cross-venue matched markets & arbitrage
⚡ 7 arb · 12 matched
Polymarket ↔ Kalshi
Every open market on both venues is matched and scanned every minute —
the moment prices cross into an arb it posts here (buy the highlighted side on each venue; one leg
always pays $1), arbs first, then matched markets with no current edge. Mid-price implied odds, before fees.
⚡ up to 9.5¢ / share
8 arb outcomes
Politics
resolves 2026-12-31
Polymarket Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? ↗
Kalshi Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Tom Homan
27.0¢
17.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 73.0¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 17.5¢
→ lock 9.5¢
Susie Wiles
26.5¢
34.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 26.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 65.5¢
→ lock 8.0¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
31.0¢
23.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 69.0¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 23.5¢
→ lock 7.5¢
Russell Vought
10.0¢
15.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 10.0¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 84.5¢
→ lock 5.5¢
Lee Zeldin
26.0¢
21.0¢
Buy NO@Poly 74.0¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 21.0¢
→ lock 5.0¢
Stephen Miller
10.5¢
15.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 10.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 84.5¢
→ lock 5.0¢
Pete Hegseth
27.0¢
31.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 27.0¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 68.5¢
→ lock 4.5¢
John Ratcliffe
14.5¢
18.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 14.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 81.5¢
→ lock 4.0¢
Kash Patel
30.5¢
30.5¢
— no edge
Howard Lutnick
30.0¢
29.5¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 5.0¢ / share
3 arb outcomes
Mentions
resolves 2026-08-14
Polymarket What will Trump say during remarks in New York? ↗
Kalshi What will Trump say during his remarks in New York? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Zohran / Mamdani
45.5¢
40.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 54.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 40.5¢
→ lock 5.0¢
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
79.5¢
76.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 20.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 76.5¢
→ lock 3.0¢
Transgender
53.5¢
55.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 53.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 44.5¢
→ lock 2.0¢
Biden
88.5¢
88.5¢
— no edge
Communist / Communism
80.5¢
79.5¢
— no edge
Hottest
76.5¢
77.5¢
— no edge
Stock Market
69.0¢
70.5¢
— no edge
MAGA / Make America Great Again
55.5¢
54.5¢
— no edge
Supreme Court
40.5¢
40.5¢
— no edge
Kamala
36.5¢
35.5¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 4.0¢ / share
3 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2026-10-04
Polymarket Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place ↗
Kalshi Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Flávio Bolsonaro
83.5¢
79.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 16.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 79.5¢
→ lock 4.0¢
Renan Santos
7.0¢
10.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 7.0¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 90.0¢
→ lock 3.0¢
Ronaldo Caiado
0.9¢
3.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 0.9¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 97.0¢
→ lock 2.1¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
7.3¢
6.5¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 4.0¢ / share
4 arb outcomes
Technology
resolves 2026-12-31
Polymarket Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? ↗
Kalshi Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
xAI
13.0¢
17.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 13.0¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 83.0¢
→ lock 4.0¢
Alibaba
12.5¢
8.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 87.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 8.5¢
→ lock 4.0¢
DeepSeek
9.5¢
6.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 90.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 6.5¢
→ lock 3.0¢
ByteDance
7.5¢
5.0¢
Buy NO@Poly 92.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 5.0¢
→ lock 2.5¢
OpenAI
32.0¢
32.5¢
— no edge
Meta
12.5¢
13.5¢
— no edge
Z.ai
8.5¢
7.5¢
— no edge
Baidu
6.5¢
5.5¢
— no edge
Mistral
3.8¢
5.0¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 3.2¢ / share
3 arb outcomes
Sports
resolves 2026-10-31
Polymarket Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 ↗
Kalshi Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Harry Kane
57.8¢
61.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 57.8¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 39.0¢
→ lock 3.2¢
Rodri
8.5¢
6.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 91.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 6.5¢
→ lock 2.0¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
6.0¢
8.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 6.0¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 92.0¢
→ lock 2.0¢
Lamine Yamal
16.2¢
17.5¢
— no edge
Lionel Messi
2.1¢
2.5¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 3.0¢ / share
Sports
resolves 2026-12-31
Polymarket Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? ↗
Kalshi Gianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026 ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Yes
21.5¢
24.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 21.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 75.5¢
→ lock 3.0¢
⚡ up to 2.0¢ / share
Sports
resolves 2027-05-30
Polymarket UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion ↗
Kalshi Champions League Winner ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Barcelona
14.5¢
16.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 14.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 83.5¢
→ lock 2.0¢
Real Madrid
13.5¢
12.5¢
— no edge
Bayern Munich
13.5¢
12.5¢
— no edge
Arsenal
12.5¢
12.5¢
— no edge
Manchester City
12.5¢
11.5¢
— no edge
Liverpool
7.5¢
7.5¢
— no edge
Manchester United
3.1¢
4.5¢
— no edge
Napoli
0.9¢
2.0¢
— no edge
Aston Villa
1.2¢
1.5¢
— no edge
🤖 matched · no edge
Elections
resolves 2026-12-31
Polymarket Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? ↗
Kalshi Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Gadi Eizenkot
53.5¢
54.5¢
— no edge
Benjamin Netanyahu
30.5¢
29.0¢
— no edge
Avigdor Lieberman
5.9¢
7.0¢
— no edge
Naftali Bennett
5.5¢
4.5¢
— no edge
🤖 matched · no edge
Finance
resolves 2026-12-31
Polymarket Will GameStop acquire eBay? ↗
Kalshi Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Yes
7.5¢
8.5¢
— no edge
🤖 matched · no edge
Btc
resolves 2027-01-01
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Yes
4.8¢
5.0¢
— no edge
🤖 matched · no edge
Elections
resolves 2028-11-07
Polymarket Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ↗
Kalshi 2028 Democratic presidential nominee ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
19.1¢
17.5¢
— no edge
Gavin Newsom
17.0¢
16.5¢
— no edge
Jon Ossoff
15.4¢
13.5¢
— no edge
Pete Buttigieg
5.2¢
5.5¢
— no edge
Josh Shapiro
5.0¢
4.5¢
— no edge
Andy Beshear
2.4¢
3.6¢
— no edge
J.B. Pritzker
1.1¢
2.6¢
— no edge
Wes Moore
1.5¢
2.4¢
— no edge
Ro Khanna
2.2¢
2.1¢
— no edge
James Talarico
2.1¢
1.7¢
— no edge
Michelle Obama
0.8¢
1.1¢
— no edge
Gretchen Whitmer
0.9¢
0.9¢
— no edge
🤖 matched · no edge
Elections
resolves 2028-11-07
Polymarket Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 ↗
Kalshi 2028 Republican presidential nominee ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
J.D. Vance
43.1¢
42.5¢
— no edge
Marco Rubio
23.1¢
24.5¢
— no edge
Tucker Carlson
2.1¢
3.2¢
— no edge
Thomas Massie
0.8¢
1.4¢
— no edge
Ivanka Trump
0.8¢
1.2¢
— no edge
Glenn Youngkin
0.9¢
1.1¢
— no edge
No cross-venue matches in Geopolitics right now —
either both venues are currently covering different markets in this
category, or the matcher hasn't run since the last set resolved.
The matcher re-runs every 5 minutes; browse the per-venue columns below
to see what each venue lists.
P
Polymarket
30 of 36 events
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Geopolitics
$188,103 24h
YES
17.5%
NO
82.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Geopolitics
$141,152 24h
· 9 options
December 31
21.5%
November 30
17.0%
October 31
9.5%
September 30
4.5%
August 31
1.5%
August 18
0.4%
August 13
0.1%
June 30
0.0%
+ 1 more on Polymarket ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Geopolitics
$82,335 24h
· 6 options
December 31
23.0%
October 31
8.5%
August 31
3.8%
December 31, 2025
0.0%
March 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Geopolitics
$79,006 24h
· 16 options
Venezuela
68.0%
Lebanon
12.5%
Saudi Arabia
9.5%
Indonesia
8.5%
Syria
6.5%
Tunisia
6.5%
Pakistan
5.5%
Kuwait
5.5%
+ 8 more on Polymarket ↗
Iran leadership change by...?
Geopolitics
$61,861 24h
· 14 options
June 30, 2027
25.5%
December 31
18.5%
November 30
13.5%
October 31
10.5%
September 30
6.5%
August 31
2.5%
August 22
0.9%
August 15
0.3%
+ 6 more on Polymarket ↗
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Geopolitics
$61,789 24h
YES
23.5%
NO
76.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Geopolitics
$58,921 24h
YES
3.7%
NO
96.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Geopolitics
$54,337 24h
· 5 options
June 30, 2027
11.5%
December 31, 2026
7.5%
September 30, 2026
2.4%
August 31, 2026
1.1%
July 31, 2026
0.0%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
Geopolitics
$43,964 24h
· 2 options
September 30
92.5%
August 31
11.1%
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?
Geopolitics
$40,715 24h
· 2 options
October 31
25.0%
August 31
5.5%
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Geopolitics
$40,303 24h
· 19 options
No Meeting by September 30
58.0%
Switzerland
15.0%
Pakistan
11.5%
Qatar
8.5%
Oman
5.2%
Austria
0.9%
Other
0.8%
Turkey
0.6%
+ 11 more on Polymarket ↗
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
Geopolitics
$29,488 24h
· 5 options
December 31
12.5%
May 31
0.0%
July 31
0.0%
March 31
0.0%
April 30
0.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Geopolitics
$28,155 24h
· 14 options
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
92.5%
Avengers: Doomsday
6.5%
Dune: Messiah
0.4%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
0.4%
Wuthering Heights
0.1%
Project Hail Mary
0.1%
Michael
0.1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
0.1%
+ 6 more on Polymarket ↗
Iran full airspace closure by...?
Geopolitics
$27,523 24h
· 10 options
December 31
30.0%
September 30
16.5%
August 31
8.5%
August 15
1.2%
June 30
0.0%
July 15
0.0%
July 31
0.0%
July 21
0.0%
+ 2 more on Polymarket ↗
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Geopolitics
$25,234 24h
· 4 options
September 30
47.5%
August 31
28.5%
August 15
6.2%
July 31
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Geopolitics
$24,922 24h
· 4 options
December 31
20.5%
October 31
9.5%
May 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Geopolitics
$24,679 24h
· 19 options
Abbas Araghchi
67.5%
Steve Witkoff
66.0%
Jared Kushner
64.5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
58.5%
Ahmad Vahidi
43.0%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
36.0%
Nick Stewart
36.0%
J.D. Vance
32.0%
+ 11 more on Polymarket ↗
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Geopolitics
$23,801 24h
· 16 options
Nicolás Maduro
82.0%
Delcy Rodríguez
9.5%
María Corina Machado
2.1%
No Head of State
0.8%
Edmundo González
0.4%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
0.2%
Jorge Rodríguez
0.2%
Marco Rubio
0.1%
+ 8 more on Polymarket ↗
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Geopolitics
$21,670 24h
· 30 options
Actress B
50.0%
Actress C
50.0%
Actress D
50.0%
Actress E
50.0%
Actress F
50.0%
Actress G
50.0%
Actress H
50.0%
Actress I
50.0%
+ 22 more on Polymarket ↗
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Geopolitics
$19,034 24h
· 20 options
Yulia Navalnaya
8.5%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
5.9%
UNRWA
4.0%
Pope Leo XIV
3.1%
Donald Trump
2.8%
International Court of Justice
2.3%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
2.3%
Narendra Modi
1.3%
+ 12 more on Polymarket ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Geopolitics
$16,079 24h
YES
6.5%
NO
93.5%
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
Geopolitics
$14,920 24h
· 2 options
August 31
18.0%
July 31
0.0%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
Geopolitics
$13,414 24h
· 7 options
December 31
13.5%
September 30
5.0%
May 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
February 28
0.0%
March 31
0.0%
April 30
0.0%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
Geopolitics
$12,890 24h
· 6 options
December 31
27.5%
September 30
8.5%
August 31
3.1%
March 31
0.0%
April 30
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Geopolitics
$10,934 24h
· 5 options
December 31
25.5%
October 31
11.5%
August 31
2.7%
May 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Geopolitics
$10,805 24h
YES
4.5%
NO
95.5%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Geopolitics
$9,398 24h
YES
0.6%
NO
99.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Geopolitics
$9,027 24h
YES
2.0%
NO
98.0%
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
Geopolitics
$8,668 24h
· 2 options
August 15
85.0%
August 8
51.0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Geopolitics
$8,653 24h
· 6 options
December 31, 2026
39.5%
December 31
0.0%
November 30
0.0%
March 31, 2026
0.0%
February 28, 2026
0.0%
June 30, 2026
0.0%
K
Kalshi
1 of 1 event
EU has a new member before 2030?
Geopolitics
$1,727 24h
Any country
72.5%
Sources: Polymarket Gamma API (free) · Kalshi REST API (RSA-PSS signed).
Market pools, cross-venue matched pairs and the arbitrage scan all
refresh every 5 minutes; the live 15-min crypto panel updates every 5
seconds; resolved markets drop on the next page load. Page loads serve only from cache — no API calls per
visitor. LLM-verified cross-venue matching (gpt-4o-mini) included.
How it works
Built for speed, scaled for everyone
Polled venues are cached in Redis. LLM market-matching runs async on its own worker. The same data drives a paid REST + WebSocket API.
⚡
Polled + cached
Polymarket and Kalshi polled once per minute, cached in Redis.
Visitors hit cache; venues never see our traffic spikes.
WebSocket push for sub-second updates is on the roadmap.
🧠
LLM-matched markets
"BTC above $70k on Jun 30" on Polymarket = "BTC ≥ 70000 on 2026-06-30"
on Kalshi. Matching runs async on a worker and is cached — never
blocks a quote.
🛰️
REST + Data API
The same data that drives the dashboard is exposed via paid REST + WebSocket
API for traders building their own signals. Tiers scale by request rate.