Live cross-venue aggregator

LinkHash Terminal

Cross-venue prediction-market intelligence. Polymarket and Kalshi side-by-side, categorized, refreshed every minute. LLM-matched pairs surface the same market across both venues so spreads are one glance away.

Building the latest cross-venue snapshot… this page will refresh automatically in a few seconds.
Live · 5-second polling

Live Crypto Markets — 15-min up/down

7 assets, both venues, side-by-side. Probabilities update every 5 seconds from each venue's order book. Spread column highlights the gap between Polymarket and Kalshi.

Current round closes in
Updated 22:56:09Z · polling…
Asset Polymarket Kalshi Spread Open
BTC · 15m
on both venues
40.5%
Down 59.5%
39.5%
Down 60.5%
1.0 pp
ETH · 15m
on both venues
16.5%
Down 83.5%
19.5%
Down 80.5%
3.0 pp
SOL · 15m
on both venues
55.0%
Down 45.0%
53.5%
Down 46.5%
1.5 pp
XRP · 15m
on both venues
47.0%
Down 53.0%
50.0%
Down 50.0%
3.0 pp
DOGE · 15m
on both venues
75.0%
Down 25.0%
73.5%
Down 26.5%
1.5 pp
BNB · 15m
on both venues
24.5%
Down 75.5%
26.5%
Down 73.5%
2.0 pp
HYPE · 15m
on both venues
4.0%
Down 96.0%
5.5%
Down 94.5%
1.5 pp
Polymarket: {asset}-updown-15m events · Kalshi: KX{ASSET}15M series. Mid-price from each venue's order book (bid/ask spread). Updates every 5 seconds.
Aggregator

Prediction Market Aggregator

Side-by-side coverage of Polymarket and Kalshi. Filter by category; click any row to open the underlying market.

Arbs scan live · pools every 5 min
pools refresh in –:––
Cross-venue matched markets & arbitrage
⚡ 8 arb · 8 matched Polymarket ↔ Kalshi
Every open market on both venues is matched and scanned every minute — the moment prices cross into an arb it posts here (buy the highlighted side on each venue; one leg always pays $1), arbs first, then matched markets with no current edge. Mid-price implied odds, before fees.
⚡ up to 6.5¢ / share 4 arb outcomes Geopolitics resolves 2026-12-31
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Kim Jong Un 36.5¢ 30.0¢ Buy NO@Poly 63.5¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 30.0¢ → lock 6.5¢
Pope Leo XIV 9.5¢ 14.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 9.5¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 85.5¢ → lock 5.0¢
Vladimir Putin 45.5¢ 42.5¢ Buy NO@Poly 54.5¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 42.5¢ → lock 3.0¢
Nicolás Maduro 5.5¢ 7.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 5.5¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 92.5¢ → lock 2.0¢
Mohammed bin Salman 68.5¢ 67.5¢ — no edge
Lai Ching-te 3.5¢ 4.5¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 5.1¢ / share 3 arb outcomes Elections resolves 2027-04-30
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Marine Le Pen 31.4¢ 36.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 31.4¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 63.5¢ → lock 5.1¢
François Hollande 3.2¢ 6.0¢ Buy YES@Poly 3.2¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 94.0¢ → lock 2.8¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13.5¢ 11.0¢ Buy NO@Poly 86.5¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 11.0¢ → lock 2.5¢
Édouard Philippe 24.5¢ 23.0¢ — no edge
Gabriel Attal 4.8¢ 3.1¢ — no edge
Jordan Bardella 2.5¢ 3.2¢ — no edge
David Lisnard 2.9¢ 1.8¢ — no edge
Dominique de Villepin 1.8¢ 2.8¢ — no edge
Sarah Knafo 1.8¢ 2.4¢ — no edge
Bruno Retailleau 2.0¢ 1.8¢ — no edge
Sébastien Lecornu 1.6¢ 1.2¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 4.5¢ / share 2 arb outcomes Sports resolves 2027-05-30
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Barcelona 16.5¢ 21.0¢ Buy YES@Poly 16.5¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 79.0¢ → lock 4.5¢
Arsenal 15.5¢ 13.5¢ Buy NO@Poly 84.5¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 13.5¢ → lock 2.0¢
Bayern Munich 13.5¢ 13.5¢ — no edge
Real Madrid 11.5¢ 12.5¢ — no edge
Manchester City 8.5¢ 8.5¢ — no edge
Liverpool 6.5¢ 6.5¢ — no edge
Manchester United 2.9¢ 4.5¢ — no edge
Napoli 0.8¢ 2.0¢ — no edge
Aston Villa 1.1¢ 1.5¢ — no edge
Sporting CP 0.7¢ 1.0¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 3.8¢ / share 3 arb outcomes Elections resolves 2028-11-07
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
J.D. Vance 47.3¢ 43.5¢ Buy NO@Poly 52.7¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 43.5¢ → lock 3.8¢
Ron DeSantis 1.9¢ 4.9¢ Buy YES@Poly 1.9¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 95.1¢ → lock 3.0¢
Marco Rubio 20.3¢ 22.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 20.3¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 77.5¢ → lock 2.2¢
Tucker Carlson 2.6¢ 3.4¢ — no edge
Ivanka Trump 0.7¢ 1.2¢ — no edge
Ted Cruz 0.9¢ 1.1¢ — no edge
Glenn Youngkin 0.9¢ 1.0¢ — no edge
Thomas Massie 0.7¢ 0.9¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 3.5¢ / share Sports resolves 2027-05-30
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Real Madrid 39.0¢ 42.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 39.0¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 57.5¢ → lock 3.5¢
Barcelona 58.0¢ 57.5¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 3.1¢ / share Elections resolves 2026-11-04
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Democratic Party 94.1¢ 97.2¢ Buy YES@Poly 94.1¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 2.8¢ → lock 3.1¢
Republican Party 4.2¢ 3.2¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 2.8¢ / share 2 arb outcomes Elections resolves 2028-11-07
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Jon Ossoff 14.7¢ 17.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 14.7¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 82.5¢ → lock 2.8¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22.1¢ 19.5¢ Buy NO@Poly 77.9¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 19.5¢ → lock 2.6¢
Gavin Newsom 14.9¢ 14.5¢ — no edge
Kamala Harris 7.4¢ 9.1¢ — no edge
Pete Buttigieg 5.2¢ 4.8¢ — no edge
Josh Shapiro 5.0¢ 4.5¢ — no edge
Mark Kelly 3.2¢ 5.0¢ — no edge
Andy Beshear 2.5¢ 3.6¢ — no edge
Rahm Emanuel 2.4¢ 3.6¢ — no edge
Ro Khanna 2.2¢ 1.8¢ — no edge
J.B. Pritzker 1.1¢ 1.8¢ — no edge
Michelle Obama 0.7¢ 1.2¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 2.7¢ / share 2 arb outcomes Elections resolves 2026-10-04
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 5.3¢ 8.0¢ Buy YES@Poly 5.3¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 92.0¢ → lock 2.7¢
Renan Santos 3.7¢ 6.0¢ Buy YES@Poly 3.7¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 94.0¢ → lock 2.3¢
Flávio Bolsonaro 86.5¢ 86.5¢ — no edge
No cross-venue matches in Geopolitics right now — either both venues are currently covering different markets in this category, or the matcher hasn't run since the last set resolved. The matcher re-runs every 5 minutes; browse the per-venue columns below to see what each venue lists.
P
Polymarket
30 of 47 events
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Geopolitics $506,018 24h · 6 options
August 22
100.0%
August 25
98.5%
August 31
90.5%
September 15
80.5%
September 30
72.0%
October 31
63.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Geopolitics $131,091 24h
YES
16.5%
NO
83.5%
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
Geopolitics $120,338 24h · 11 options
March 31, 2027
63.5%
December 31, 2026
50.5%
September 30, 2026
25.5%
August 31, 2026
1.7%
June 26
0.0%
July 3
0.0%
July 10
0.0%
July 31
0.0%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Geopolitics $113,165 24h · 5 options
June 30, 2027
13.5%
December 31, 2026
7.5%
September 30, 2026
1.7%
August 31, 2026
0.4%
July 31, 2026
0.0%
Who will Trump meet with in August?
Geopolitics $76,565 24h · 12 options
Elon Musk
14.9%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
3.5%
Mohammed bin Salman
1.9%
Joseph Aoun
1.5%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
1.1%
Keir Starmer
0.8%
Vladimir Putin
0.7%
+ 4 more on Polymarket ↗
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?
Geopolitics $65,318 24h · 2 options
December 31
92.5%
September 30
81.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Geopolitics $51,091 24h · 9 options
December 31
9.5%
November 30
6.0%
October 31
4.2%
September 30
2.1%
August 31
0.4%
June 30
0.0%
July 31
0.0%
August 13
0.0%
+ 1 more on Polymarket ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Geopolitics $48,209 24h
YES
3.9%
NO
96.1%
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Geopolitics $39,493 24h · 19 options
No Meeting by September 30
74.6%
Switzerland
9.5%
Qatar
4.7%
Pakistan
3.0%
Austria
2.0%
Oman
1.6%
Other - Europe
1.1%
Egypt
1.1%
+ 11 more on Polymarket ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Geopolitics $36,142 24h · 6 options
December 31
25.5%
October 31
15.5%
August 31
3.9%
December 31, 2025
0.0%
March 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
Geopolitics $35,917 24h · 2 options
December 31
7.0%
May 31
0.0%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Geopolitics $32,821 24h · 6 options
December 31
50.5%
October 31
19.0%
September 30
6.5%
August 31
1.8%
July 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
Geopolitics $31,217 24h · 3 options
September 30
32.0%
September 15
10.5%
August 31
3.9%
Iran leader end of 2026?
Geopolitics $28,676 24h · 29 options
Mojtaba Khamenei
82.2%
No Head of State
4.0%
Reza Pahlavi
2.6%
Alireza Arafi
1.9%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
1.2%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
0.7%
Ahmad Vahidi
0.7%
Hassan Rouhani
0.7%
+ 21 more on Polymarket ↗
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Geopolitics $26,062 24h · 15 options
No meeting by December 31
55.5%
China
41.5%
Russia
1.5%
United States
0.5%
Gulf country
0.5%
Switzerland
0.4%
Other
0.4%
Turkey
0.2%
+ 7 more on Polymarket ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Geopolitics $25,830 24h
YES
6.5%
NO
93.5%
U.S. nuclear test by...?
Geopolitics $18,100 24h · 6 options
December 31, 2026
3.7%
September 30, 2026
1.3%
November 30
0.0%
December 31
0.0%
March 31, 2026
0.0%
June 30, 2026
0.0%
Iran leadership change by...?
Geopolitics $17,359 24h · 14 options
June 30, 2027
24.5%
December 31
15.5%
November 30
9.5%
October 31
7.0%
September 30
3.5%
August 31
0.7%
August 22
0.0%
July 31
0.0%
+ 6 more on Polymarket ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Geopolitics $16,731 24h · 7 options
June 30, 2027
55.0%
March 31, 2027
40.5%
December 31
22.0%
October 31
8.5%
August 31
0.7%
May 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
Geopolitics $16,615 24h · 3 options
September 30
75.5%
September 15
70.5%
August 31
46.5%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
Geopolitics $15,570 24h · 2 options
October 31
45.5%
August 31
12.0%
Israel closes its airspace by...?
Geopolitics $15,569 24h · 19 options
September 30
9.5%
August 31
2.2%
May 8
0.0%
May 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
May 24
0.0%
June 15
0.0%
June 8
0.0%
+ 11 more on Polymarket ↗
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Geopolitics $14,814 24h · 26 options
Giorgia Meloni
100.0%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
100.0%
Xi Jinping
100.0%
Keir Starmer
100.0%
Lula da Silva
100.0%
Javier Milei
100.0%
Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
100.0%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
100.0%
+ 18 more on Polymarket ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Geopolitics $14,176 24h
YES
1.5%
NO
98.5%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Geopolitics $14,120 24h
YES
32.5%
NO
67.5%
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Geopolitics $13,007 24h · 6 options
Iran Reconstruction Funding
17.5%
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
10.5%
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
10.5%
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
9.5%
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
9.5%
Enriched Uranium Surrender
8.5%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Geopolitics $12,200 24h
YES
15.5%
NO
84.5%
Will Iran target a Arab country on...?
Geopolitics $11,131 24h · 30 options
August 17
100.0%
August 30
12.5%
August 31
11.0%
August 26
7.5%
August 29
7.5%
August 28
6.5%
August 24
6.4%
August 25
5.5%
+ 22 more on Polymarket ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Geopolitics $10,311 24h · 14 options
December 31
26.5%
October 31
12.5%
September 30
6.5%
August 31
1.9%
June 30
0.0%
June 19
0.0%
June 26
0.0%
July 31
0.0%
+ 6 more on Polymarket ↗
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?
Geopolitics $10,057 24h · 2 options
October 31
32.0%
August 31
14.5%
K
Kalshi
2 of 2 events
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Geopolitics $4,010 24h
Mars
11.0%
EU has a new member before 2030?
Geopolitics $1,930 24h
Any country
73.0%
Sources: Polymarket Gamma API (free) · Kalshi REST API (RSA-PSS signed). Market pools, cross-venue matched pairs and the arbitrage scan all refresh every 5 minutes; the live 15-min crypto panel updates every 5 seconds; resolved markets drop on the next page load. Page loads serve only from cache — no API calls per visitor. LLM-verified cross-venue matching (gpt-4o-mini) included.
How it works

Built for speed, scaled for everyone

Polled venues are cached in Redis. LLM market-matching runs async on its own worker. The same data drives a paid REST + WebSocket API.

Polled + cached

Polymarket and Kalshi polled once per minute, cached in Redis. Visitors hit cache; venues never see our traffic spikes. WebSocket push for sub-second updates is on the roadmap.
🧠

LLM-matched markets

"BTC above $70k on Jun 30" on Polymarket = "BTC ≥ 70000 on 2026-06-30" on Kalshi. Matching runs async on a worker and is cached — never blocks a quote.
🛰️

REST + Data API

The same data that drives the dashboard is exposed via paid REST + WebSocket API for traders building their own signals. Tiers scale by request rate.