Live cross-venue aggregator
LinkHash Terminal
Cross-venue prediction-market intelligence. Polymarket and Kalshi side-by-side, categorized, refreshed every minute. LLM-matched pairs surface the same market across both venues so spreads are one glance away.
Building the latest cross-venue snapshot… this page will refresh automatically in a few seconds.
Live · 5-second polling
Live Crypto Markets — 15-min up/down
7 assets, both venues, side-by-side. Probabilities update every 5 seconds from each venue's order book. Spread column highlights the gap between Polymarket and Kalshi.
Current round closes in
—
Updated 22:56:09Z
· polling…
| Asset | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
40.5%
Down 59.5%
|
39.5%
Down 60.5%
|
1.0 pp | |
ETH · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
16.5%
Down 83.5%
|
19.5%
Down 80.5%
|
3.0 pp | |
SOL · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
55.0%
Down 45.0%
|
53.5%
Down 46.5%
|
1.5 pp | |
XRP · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
47.0%
Down 53.0%
|
50.0%
Down 50.0%
|
3.0 pp | |
DOGE · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
75.0%
Down 25.0%
|
73.5%
Down 26.5%
|
1.5 pp | |
BNB · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
24.5%
Down 75.5%
|
26.5%
Down 73.5%
|
2.0 pp | |
HYPE · 15m
✓ on both venues
|
4.0%
Down 96.0%
|
5.5%
Down 94.5%
|
1.5 pp |
Polymarket: {asset}-updown-15m events · Kalshi: KX{ASSET}15M series.
Mid-price from each venue's order book (bid/ask spread). Updates every 5 seconds.
Aggregator
Prediction Market Aggregator
Side-by-side coverage of Polymarket and Kalshi. Filter by category; click any row to open the underlying market.
Arbs scan live · pools every 5 min
pools refresh in –:––
All
1440
Politics
112
Elections
564
Crypto
44
Sports
229
Finance
73
Economy
92
Technology
62
Culture
124
Weather
48
Geopolitics
49
Esports
20
Commodities
11
Mentions
8
Other
4
Loading markets…
cross-venue pairs · open markets only
Cross-venue matched markets & arbitrage
⚡ 8 arb · 8 matched
Polymarket ↔ Kalshi
Every open market on both venues is matched and scanned every minute —
the moment prices cross into an arb it posts here (buy the highlighted side on each venue; one leg
always pays $1), arbs first, then matched markets with no current edge. Mid-price implied odds, before fees.
⚡ up to 6.5¢ / share
4 arb outcomes
Geopolitics
resolves 2026-12-31
Polymarket Who will Trump meet with in 2026? ↗
Kalshi Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Kim Jong Un
36.5¢
30.0¢
Buy NO@Poly 63.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 30.0¢
→ lock 6.5¢
Pope Leo XIV
9.5¢
14.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 9.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 85.5¢
→ lock 5.0¢
Vladimir Putin
45.5¢
42.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 54.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 42.5¢
→ lock 3.0¢
Nicolás Maduro
5.5¢
7.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 5.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 92.5¢
→ lock 2.0¢
Mohammed bin Salman
68.5¢
67.5¢
— no edge
Lai Ching-te
3.5¢
4.5¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 5.1¢ / share
3 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2027-04-30
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Marine Le Pen
31.4¢
36.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 31.4¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 63.5¢
→ lock 5.1¢
François Hollande
3.2¢
6.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 3.2¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 94.0¢
→ lock 2.8¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
13.5¢
11.0¢
Buy NO@Poly 86.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 11.0¢
→ lock 2.5¢
Édouard Philippe
24.5¢
23.0¢
— no edge
Gabriel Attal
4.8¢
3.1¢
— no edge
Jordan Bardella
2.5¢
3.2¢
— no edge
David Lisnard
2.9¢
1.8¢
— no edge
Dominique de Villepin
1.8¢
2.8¢
— no edge
Sarah Knafo
1.8¢
2.4¢
— no edge
Bruno Retailleau
2.0¢
1.8¢
— no edge
Sébastien Lecornu
1.6¢
1.2¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 4.5¢ / share
2 arb outcomes
Sports
resolves 2027-05-30
Polymarket UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion ↗
Kalshi Champions League Winner ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Barcelona
16.5¢
21.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 16.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 79.0¢
→ lock 4.5¢
Arsenal
15.5¢
13.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 84.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 13.5¢
→ lock 2.0¢
Bayern Munich
13.5¢
13.5¢
— no edge
Real Madrid
11.5¢
12.5¢
— no edge
Manchester City
8.5¢
8.5¢
— no edge
Liverpool
6.5¢
6.5¢
— no edge
Manchester United
2.9¢
4.5¢
— no edge
Napoli
0.8¢
2.0¢
— no edge
Aston Villa
1.1¢
1.5¢
— no edge
Sporting CP
0.7¢
1.0¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 3.8¢ / share
3 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2028-11-07
Polymarket Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 ↗
Kalshi 2028 Republican presidential nominee ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
J.D. Vance
47.3¢
43.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 52.7¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 43.5¢
→ lock 3.8¢
Ron DeSantis
1.9¢
4.9¢
Buy YES@Poly 1.9¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 95.1¢
→ lock 3.0¢
Marco Rubio
20.3¢
22.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 20.3¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 77.5¢
→ lock 2.2¢
Tucker Carlson
2.6¢
3.4¢
— no edge
Ivanka Trump
0.7¢
1.2¢
— no edge
Ted Cruz
0.9¢
1.1¢
— no edge
Glenn Youngkin
0.9¢
1.0¢
— no edge
Thomas Massie
0.7¢
0.9¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 3.5¢ / share
Sports
resolves 2027-05-30
Polymarket LALIGA: 2027 Champion ↗
Kalshi La Liga Champion ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Real Madrid
39.0¢
42.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 39.0¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 57.5¢
→ lock 3.5¢
Barcelona
58.0¢
57.5¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 3.1¢ / share
Elections
resolves 2026-11-04
Polymarket WA-08 House Election Winner ↗
Kalshi WA-08 House winner? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Democratic Party
94.1¢
97.2¢
Buy YES@Poly 94.1¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 2.8¢
→ lock 3.1¢
Republican Party
4.2¢
3.2¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 2.8¢ / share
2 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2028-11-07
Polymarket Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ↗
Kalshi 2028 Democratic presidential nominee ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Jon Ossoff
14.7¢
17.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 14.7¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 82.5¢
→ lock 2.8¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
22.1¢
19.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 77.9¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 19.5¢
→ lock 2.6¢
Gavin Newsom
14.9¢
14.5¢
— no edge
Kamala Harris
7.4¢
9.1¢
— no edge
Pete Buttigieg
5.2¢
4.8¢
— no edge
Josh Shapiro
5.0¢
4.5¢
— no edge
Mark Kelly
3.2¢
5.0¢
— no edge
Andy Beshear
2.5¢
3.6¢
— no edge
Rahm Emanuel
2.4¢
3.6¢
— no edge
Ro Khanna
2.2¢
1.8¢
— no edge
J.B. Pritzker
1.1¢
1.8¢
— no edge
Michelle Obama
0.7¢
1.2¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 2.7¢ / share
2 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2026-10-04
Polymarket Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place ↗
Kalshi Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
5.3¢
8.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 5.3¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 92.0¢
→ lock 2.7¢
Renan Santos
3.7¢
6.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 3.7¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 94.0¢
→ lock 2.3¢
Flávio Bolsonaro
86.5¢
86.5¢
— no edge
No cross-venue matches in Weather right now —
either both venues are currently covering different markets in this
category, or the matcher hasn't run since the last set resolved.
The matcher re-runs every 5 minutes; browse the per-venue columns below
to see what each venue lists.
P
Polymarket
19 of 19 events
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Weather
$76,063 24h
· 11 options
29°C
40.5%
30°C
30.0%
31°C
21.0%
32°C or higher
9.0%
28°C
0.1%
27°C
0.1%
22°C or below
0.1%
25°C
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Weather
$49,076 24h
· 11 options
27°C
63.5%
28°C
32.0%
29°C
5.0%
30°C
2.0%
31°C
0.5%
24°C
0.1%
26°C
0.1%
25°C
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Weather
$31,808 24h
· 11 options
15°C
45.0%
16°C
38.0%
14°C
6.0%
17°C
5.5%
18°C
0.5%
13°C
0.1%
19°C or higher
0.1%
12°C
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Weather
$27,930 24h
YES
6.2%
NO
93.8%
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Weather
$26,623 24h
· 11 options
27°C
50.0%
28°C
27.0%
26°C
14.5%
29°C
5.5%
25°C
3.0%
30°C
1.8%
24°C
1.5%
31°C
0.3%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Weather
$24,816 24h
· 11 options
32°C
43.0%
31°C
31.0%
30°C
17.5%
33°C
12.0%
29°C
3.5%
34°C or higher
0.2%
28°C
0.1%
27°C
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Weather
$21,038 24h
YES
11.5%
NO
88.5%
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Weather
$19,022 24h
· 11 options
24°C
58.0%
23°C
28.5%
25°C
9.0%
22°C
6.5%
21°C
1.5%
26°C
0.7%
28°C or higher
0.1%
27°C
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in London on August 24?
Weather
$18,782 24h
· 11 options
22°C
41.0%
21°C
41.0%
23°C
9.0%
20°C
6.5%
19°C
1.5%
24°C
0.8%
25°C
0.1%
27°C or higher
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Weather
$18,641 24h
YES
3.8%
NO
96.2%
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Weather
$17,805 24h
· 11 options
32°C
51.0%
31°C
40.5%
33°C
5.0%
30°C
3.0%
34°C
1.1%
29°C
0.6%
35°C or higher
0.1%
28°C
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
Weather
$17,184 24h
· 11 options
31°C
46.0%
30°C
24.5%
32°C
19.5%
29°C
6.0%
33°C or higher
5.5%
28°C
1.0%
27°C
0.1%
26°C
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Weather
$16,575 24h
· 11 options
80-81°F
56.5%
78-79°F
22.0%
82-83°F
18.5%
84-85°F
3.5%
76-77°F
2.5%
86°F or higher
1.1%
74-75°F
0.3%
72-73°F
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Weather
$15,663 24h
YES
8.3%
NO
91.7%
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
Weather
$15,056 24h
· 11 options
33°C
64.5%
32°C
19.0%
34°C
17.0%
35°C or higher
1.5%
31°C
1.0%
30°C
0.1%
29°C
0.1%
25°C or below
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Weather
$13,704 24h
· 11 options
82-83°F
42.0%
84-85°F
33.0%
80-81°F
15.0%
86-87°F
8.0%
78-79°F
3.5%
88-89°F
1.5%
75°F or below
0.5%
90-91°F
0.5%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in London on August 25?
Weather
$13,351 24h
· 11 options
23°C
32.0%
22°C
25.5%
24°C
21.5%
21°C
9.5%
25°C
5.5%
20°C
4.0%
19°C
1.5%
26°C
1.0%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Highest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Weather
$10,462 24h
· 11 options
104-105°F
48.5%
102-103°F
35.5%
106-107°F
11.5%
100-101°F
4.0%
108-109°F
0.7%
110-111°F
0.4%
98-99°F
0.2%
114°F or higher
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Weather
$10,148 24h
· 11 options
28°C
73.5%
26°C
11.0%
27°C
10.5%
25°C
1.4%
24°C
0.4%
29°C
0.1%
23°C
0.1%
30°C
0.1%
+ 3 more on Polymarket ↗
K
Kalshi
29 of 29 events
Where will it rain on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$313,073 24h
· 20 options
New York City
99.5%
Miami
99.5%
Philadelphia
99.5%
Boston
99.5%
Denver
99.0%
New Orleans
79.5%
Phoenix
49.5%
Washington DC
1.5%
+ 12 more on Kalshi ↗
Consecutive days of average temperature in Oklahoma City above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
Weather
$43,090 24h
· 5 options
2+ consecutive days
99.5%
3+ consecutive days
65.5%
5+ consecutive days
2.0%
4+ consecutive days
1.5%
6+ consecutive days
1.0%
Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$29,723 24h
· 6 options
90° to 91°
65.0%
88° to 89°
29.0%
84° to 85°
8.0%
83° or below
6.0%
86° to 87°
6.0%
92° or above
1.0%
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$23,667 24h
· 6 options
84° to 85°
99.5%
79° or below
1.0%
80° to 81°
1.0%
82° to 83°
1.0%
86° to 87°
1.0%
88° or above
1.0%
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$21,620 24h
· 6 options
109° to 110°
93.5%
111° to 112°
5.0%
105° to 106°
2.0%
104° or below
1.0%
107° to 108°
1.0%
113° or above
1.0%
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$17,077 24h
· 6 options
79° to 80°
87.5%
81° to 82°
10.5%
76° or below
1.0%
77° to 78°
1.0%
83° to 84°
1.0%
85° or above
1.0%
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$14,933 24h
· 6 options
83° to 84°
97.5%
81° to 82°
2.0%
76° or below
1.0%
77° to 78°
1.0%
79° to 80°
1.0%
85° or above
1.0%
Where will it rain on Aug 24, 2026?
Weather
$13,290 24h
· 20 options
New Orleans
72.5%
Denver
56.5%
Miami
40.0%
Phoenix
33.5%
Oklahoma City
20.5%
New York City
11.0%
Atlanta
10.5%
Houston
10.5%
+ 12 more on Kalshi ↗
Where will it rain this weekend (Aug 22 - Aug 23)?
Weather
$11,626 24h
· 20 options
New York City
99.5%
Miami
99.5%
Denver
99.5%
Philadelphia
99.5%
Washington DC
99.5%
Boston
99.5%
Oklahoma City
99.5%
New Orleans
54.5%
+ 12 more on Kalshi ↗
Highest temperature in San Antonio on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$8,310 24h
· 6 options
103° to 104°
99.5%
100° or below
1.0%
101° to 102°
1.0%
105° to 106°
1.0%
107° to 108°
1.0%
109° or above
1.0%
Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$7,911 24h
· 6 options
74° to 75°
99.0%
67° or below
3.0%
68° to 69°
1.0%
70° to 71°
1.0%
72° to 73°
1.0%
76° or above
1.0%
Rain in Chicago in Aug 2026?
Weather
$6,974 24h
· 10 options
Above 1 inch
99.5%
Above 2 inches
99.5%
Above 3 inches
99.5%
Above 4 inches
99.5%
Above 5 inches
42.0%
Above 6 inches
20.0%
Above 7 inches
8.0%
Above 8 inches
4.5%
+ 2 more on Kalshi ↗
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
Weather
$6,596 24h
· 5 options
At least 3.0°C
54.5%
2.5°C to 2.9°C
37.0%
2.0°C to 2.4°C
7.5%
1.5°C to 1.9°C
4.0%
Below 1.5°C
3.0%
EV market share in 2030?
Weather
$5,156 24h
· 4 options
Above 10%
85.0%
Above 20%
62.0%
Above 30%
42.5%
Above 50%
25.5%
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Weather
$4,117 24h
Before 2050
76.5%
Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$3,898 24h
· 6 options
78° to 79°
84.0%
76° to 77°
22.0%
74° to 75°
5.5%
73° or below
2.0%
80° to 81°
1.0%
82° or above
1.0%
Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$3,852 24h
· 6 options
56° to 57°
98.5%
54° to 55°
14.0%
49° or below
2.0%
50° to 51°
1.0%
52° to 53°
1.0%
58° or above
1.0%
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 23, 2026?
Weather
$3,754 24h
· 6 options
60° to 61°
99.0%
55° or below
1.0%
56° to 57°
1.0%
58° to 59°
1.0%
62° to 63°
1.0%
64° or above
1.0%
How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year?
Weather
$2,914 24h
· 6 options
Above 2
94.5%
Above 3
94.0%
Above 4
89.5%
Above 5
71.5%
Above 6
41.5%
Above 7
21.5%
Number of tornadoes in Aug 2026?
Weather
$2,691 24h
· 11 options
Above 25
99.5%
Above 50
99.5%
Above 75
99.5%
Above 100
75.5%
Above 125
20.0%
Above 150
3.0%
Above 175
1.0%
Above 200
1.0%
+ 3 more on Kalshi ↗
Rain in Denver in Aug 2026?
Weather
$2,139 24h
· 10 options
Above 1 inch
99.5%
Above 2 inches
31.5%
Above 3 inches
1.0%
Above 4 inches
1.0%
Above 5 inches
1.0%
Above 6 inches
1.0%
Above 7 inches
1.0%
Above 8 inches
1.0%
+ 2 more on Kalshi ↗
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
Weather
$1,901 24h
· 7 options
Before Dec 1, 2026
96.0%
Before Nov 15, 2026
92.5%
Before Sep 15, 2026
85.0%
Before Oct 1, 2026
84.5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
84.0%
Before Oct 15, 2026
81.5%
Before Sep 1, 2026
18.5%
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Weather
$1,769 24h
By 2030
61.0%
Temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 23, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
Weather
$1,623 24h
· 10 options
75° or above
97.5%
76° or above
97.5%
77° or above
97.5%
78° or above
97.5%
79° or above
97.5%
80° or above
97.5%
81° or above
96.5%
82° or above
89.5%
+ 2 more on Kalshi ↗
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
Weather
$1,577 24h
· 8 options
Above 0
71.0%
Above 1
53.5%
Above 2
25.0%
Above 3
16.5%
Above 4
10.5%
Above 5
6.5%
Above 6
4.5%
Above 7
2.5%
How many consecutive days will the average temperature in Atlanta be above 90°F for the week of Aug 17, 2026?
Weather
$1,401 24h
· 5 options
2+ consecutive days
1.5%
3+ consecutive days
1.0%
4+ consecutive days
1.0%
5+ consecutive days
1.0%
6+ consecutive days
1.0%
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
Weather
$1,210 24h
· 5 options
At least 2.0°C
83.0%
1.5°C to 1.9°C
13.5%
0.5°C to 0.9°C
3.0%
1.0°C to 1.4°C
3.0%
Below 0.5°C
1.5%
Rain in Dallas in Aug 2026?
Weather
$998 24h
· 7 options
Above 1 inch
12.5%
Above 2 inches
11.0%
Above 4 inches
2.0%
Above 3 inches
1.0%
Above 5 inches
1.0%
Above 6 inches
1.0%
Above 7 inches
1.0%
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
Weather
$922 24h
Before 2028
10.5%
Sources: Polymarket Gamma API (free) · Kalshi REST API (RSA-PSS signed).
Market pools, cross-venue matched pairs and the arbitrage scan all
refresh every 5 minutes; the live 15-min crypto panel updates every 5
seconds; resolved markets drop on the next page load. Page loads serve only from cache — no API calls per
visitor. LLM-verified cross-venue matching (gpt-4o-mini) included.
How it works
Built for speed, scaled for everyone
Polled venues are cached in Redis. LLM market-matching runs async on its own worker. The same data drives a paid REST + WebSocket API.
⚡
Polled + cached
Polymarket and Kalshi polled once per minute, cached in Redis.
Visitors hit cache; venues never see our traffic spikes.
WebSocket push for sub-second updates is on the roadmap.
🧠
LLM-matched markets
"BTC above $70k on Jun 30" on Polymarket = "BTC ≥ 70000 on 2026-06-30"
on Kalshi. Matching runs async on a worker and is cached — never
blocks a quote.
🛰️
REST + Data API
The same data that drives the dashboard is exposed via paid REST + WebSocket
API for traders building their own signals. Tiers scale by request rate.